Temporal Analysis of 911 Emergency Calls Through Time Series Modeling

Pablo Robles, Andrés Tello, Lizandro Solano-Quinde, Miguel Zúñiga-Prieto

Producción científica: Capítulo del libro/informe/acta de congresoContribución a la conferenciarevisión exhaustiva

Resumen

We present two techniques for modeling time series of emergency events using data from 911 emergency calls in the city of Cuenca-Ecuador. We study state-of-the-art methods for time series analysis and assess the benefits and drawbacks of each one of them. In this paper, we develop an emergency model using a large dataset corresponding to the period January 1st 2015 through December 31st 2016 and test a Gaussian Process and an ARIMA model for temporal prediction purposes. We assess the performance of our approaches experimentally, comparing the standard residual error (SRE) and the execution time of both models. In addition, we include climate and holidays data as explanatory variables of the regressions aiming to improve the prediction. The results show that ARIMA model is the most suitable one for forecasting emergency events even without the support of additional variables.

Idioma originalInglés
Título de la publicación alojadaAdvances in Emerging Trends and Technologies Volume 1
EditoresMiguel Botto-Tobar, Joffre León-Acurio, Angela Díaz Cadena, Práxedes Montiel Díaz
EditorialSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Páginas136-145
Número de páginas10
ISBN (versión impresa)9783030320218
DOI
EstadoPublicada - 2020
Evento1st International Conference on Advances in Emerging Trends and Technologies, ICAETT 2019 - quito, Ecuador
Duración: 29 may. 201931 may. 2019

Serie de la publicación

NombreAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Volumen1066
ISSN (versión impresa)2194-5357
ISSN (versión digital)2194-5365

Conferencia

Conferencia1st International Conference on Advances in Emerging Trends and Technologies, ICAETT 2019
País/TerritorioEcuador
Ciudadquito
Período29/05/1931/05/19

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