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Temporal Analysis of 911 Emergency Calls Through Time Series Modeling

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

We present two techniques for modeling time series of emergency events using data from 911 emergency calls in the city of Cuenca-Ecuador. We study state-of-the-art methods for time series analysis and assess the benefits and drawbacks of each one of them. In this paper, we develop an emergency model using a large dataset corresponding to the period January 1st 2015 through December 31st 2016 and test a Gaussian Process and an ARIMA model for temporal prediction purposes. We assess the performance of our approaches experimentally, comparing the standard residual error (SRE) and the execution time of both models. In addition, we include climate and holidays data as explanatory variables of the regressions aiming to improve the prediction. The results show that ARIMA model is the most suitable one for forecasting emergency events even without the support of additional variables.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvances in Emerging Trends and Technologies Volume 1
EditorsMiguel Botto-Tobar, Joffre León-Acurio, Angela Díaz Cadena, Práxedes Montiel Díaz
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages136-145
Number of pages10
ISBN (Print)9783030320218
DOIs
StatePublished - 2020
Event1st International Conference on Advances in Emerging Trends and Technologies, ICAETT 2019 - quito, Ecuador
Duration: 29 May 201931 May 2019

Publication series

NameAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Volume1066
ISSN (Print)2194-5357
ISSN (Electronic)2194-5365

Conference

Conference1st International Conference on Advances in Emerging Trends and Technologies, ICAETT 2019
Country/TerritoryEcuador
Cityquito
Period29/05/1931/05/19

Keywords

  • 911 calls
  • ARIMA
  • Emergency calls
  • GP
  • Temporal models

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