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Beyond Global Trends: Two Decades of Climate Data in the World’s Highest Equatorial City

  • Rasa Zalakeviciute (First Author)
  • , Fidel Vallejo
  • , Bolívar Erazo
  • , Oscar Chimborazo
  • , Santiago Bonilla-Bedoya
  • , Danilo Mejia
  • , Tobias Isaac Tapia-Flores
  • , Genesis Chuquimarca
  • , Yves Rybarczyk (Last Author)
  • Universidad de las Américas - Ecuador
  • Universidad Nacional de Chimborazo
  • Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología (INAMH)
  • Departamento de Gestión de Recursos Hídricos
  • Howard University
  • Universidad Yachay Tech
  • Universidad Tecnológica Indoamérica
  • Dalarna University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

While humanity stands at a critical point—one future leading toward sustainability, equity, and resilience, the other toward escalating conflicts, ecological collapse, and irreversible loss—climate change emerges as one of the most urgent challenges of the 21st century. The Global South, specifically the northwestern South American region, lacks model confidence and reports on current climatic conditions due to gaps in historical data. This study, therefore, presents temperature and precipitation trends in the highest city on the equator, Quito, Ecuador, from 2004–2024. Six different districts were analyzed for maximum, average, and minimum temperatures, as well as cumulative precipitation, in terms of monthly and annual statistics, using Seasonal-Trend Decomposition. Over the past two decades, this Andean city has warmed by an average of +0.95 °C, with minimum temperatures rising at rates twice the global urban average of extreme urban heat islands (+2.47 °C), while precipitation has nearly doubled in rapidly developing parts of the city. These profound changes, shaped by urban expansion, El Niño–Southern Oscillation variability, and climate change, demand urgent adaptation in water management, urban planning, and climate resilience strategies, as well as comparative studies with rural Ecuador to differentiate local vs. regional climate signatures.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1080
JournalAtmosphere
Volume16
Issue number9
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2025

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 6 - Clean Water and Sanitation
    SDG 6 Clean Water and Sanitation
  2. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
    SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities
  3. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • climate change
  • high-elevation tropical city
  • precipitation
  • temperature
  • urban heat island

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