Study of the relationship between soil cost and vulnerability. Effects on occupation patterns

The urbanization processes of the last decades, the result of demographic growth, have overwhelmed in many cases the regulation capacity of local governments in many Latin American cities, especially with the indiscriminate occupation of areas of high natural high risk, where the poorest populations are usually settled, increasing their vulnerability, limiting their development possibilities. The project, applied to the city of Cuenca (Ecuador), tries to explain how irregular settlements, is progressively settled in the low -cost sectors, affected by natural risks and of little opportunity. To do this, the research project aims to: analyze the socio-spatial specialization of urban growth and identify irregular settlements with greater vulnerability; Analyze the aptitude of the territory, identifying the areas with greater risk and less opportunities; Determine the cost of the soil in the different areas identified; Analyze the cause-effect relationship between aptitude, land value and settlement typology to establish a growth model of these settlements; Establish a trend model, modeling the future growth of irregular settlements, in the absence of soil intervention and control mechanisms; Predict its effects in relation to the vulnerability of populations; And finally prepare management tools. With this, the final objective is to provide rationality to urban development, improving the living conditions of the poorest citizens. This project will be carried out with researchers at the University of Cuenca and the Polytechnic University of Valencia; And the Municipality of Cuenca will provide information that it has.

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